منابع مشابه
Functional Time series (FTS) Forecasting of Electricity Consumption in Pakistan
Electricity is one of the most important sources for economic and social development of a country. The growth in energy consumption is basically linked with the growth in economy. Energy demand increases due to different reasons, including higher Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, higher per capita consumption, the population growth and rapid development of industrial & commercial sectors. In...
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The aim of this contribution is to show the opportunities of applying of fuzzy time series models to predict multiple heterogeneous time series, given at International Time Series Forecasting Competition [http://irafm.osu.cz/cif/main.php]. The dataset of this competition includes 91 time series of different length, time frequencies and behaviour. In this paper the framework (algorithm) of multi...
متن کاملTime series forecasting using CCA and Kohonen maps - application to electricity consumption
A general-purpose useful parameter in time series forecasting is the regressor, corresponding to the minimum number of variables necessary to forecast the future values of the time series. If the models used are non linear, the choice of this regressor becomes very difficult. We will show a quasiautomatic method using Curvilinear Component Analysis to build it. This method will be applied to el...
متن کاملTime Variant Fuzzy Time Series Approach for Forecasting Using Particle Swarm Optimization
Fuzzy time series have been developed during the last decade to improve the forecast accuracy. Many algorithms have been applied in this approach of forecasting such as high order time invariant fuzzy time series. In this paper, we present a hybrid algorithm to deal with the forecasting problem based on time variant fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization algorithm, as a highly effi...
متن کاملForecasting Electricity Consumption for Pakistan
Now-a-days, different sectors of the economy are being significantly affected by the electricity variable. In this research, we analyzed the monthly electricity consumption in Pakistan for the period of January 1990 through December 2011, using linear and non linear modeling techniques. They include ARIMA, Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) and ARCH/GARCH models. Electricity consumption model reveals a si...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Engineering & Technology
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2227-524X
DOI: 10.14419/ijet.v7i4.30.22305